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What to Watch in Constellation Brands' Earnings This Week -- The Motley Fool constellation watch

What to Watch in Constellation Brands' Earnings This Week

Look for surging beer sales to power strong results as profitability expands.

Jun 25, 2017 at 5:37PM

Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ) is set to post fiscal first-quarter results before the market opens on Thursday, June 29. The stakes are high for the alcoholic beverage giant, given that shares have trounced the market so far in 2017.

Below, we'll look at a few key operating trends that might determine whether that rally continues through the second half of the year -- or falls flat.

A pint of beer.

Image source: Getty Images.

Sales growth

The alcoholic beverage category is one of the few packaged foods segments that are expanding right now. And almost all of the industry gains are coming at the high end of the business.

That puts Constellation Brands, with its powerhouse Corona brand, in an unusually strong position. Corona, the country's top-selling premium beer, joins Modelo, Corona Light, and Pacifico to create a portfolio that dominates the high-end beer segment and has generated impressive sales growth for the company. Beer sales rose 17% in the past year, helping overall revenue rise 12%.

STZ Revenue (TTM) data by YCharts.

CEO Rob Sands and his team believe the beer business will continue fueling market-beating growth as consumers increasingly opt for its pricier brands and as Constellation Brands takes advantage of new distribution avenues and favorable demographic trends. For fiscal 2018, executives' initial outlook targets beer growth of 10% at the midpoint of guidance, or double the expansion pace from its spirits and wine segments.

Profit

Operating income should grow at an even faster pace of 11% to 13% as the company benefits from the type of rising prices that can only be supported by robust demand. This is part of a long-term trend for Constellation Brands: Gross profit spiked by 20% last year after rising by 17% the year before. As a result, profitability is an all-time high of nearly 50% of sales.

STZ Gross Profit Margin (TTM) Chart

STZ Gross Profit Margin (TTM) data by YCharts.

Again, it's the beer business that investors can thank for these gains. Since fiscal 2013, before Constellation Brands acquired its way into this alcoholic beverage segment, operating margin hovered around 20% of sales. Today, it's closer to 30% -- and rising.

Spending plans and outlook

It will take major cash outlays for Constellation Brands to reach its aggressive long-term sales and profit goals. Its biggest investment priority today is boosting its beer production capabilities. That's why management is planning to spend $3 billion over the next four fiscal years on its Mexican plants to bring capacity up to 385 million cases per year, up from around 250 million cases today.

Sands and his team will also likely keep hunting for targeted acquisition ideas that fill gaps in its portfolio and provide added growth opportunities. A few of the latest purchases, including the Meiomi wine brand and the Casa Noble spirits franchise, fit that bill and helped the company move its portfolio toward the higher end of each category.

Over the next three years, Constellation Brands believes it can average 10% annual earnings growth that's powered by steady gains in spirits and wine and blockbuster results from the beer segment. Capital spending should peak in fiscal 2018, allowing free cash flow to begin expanding at a healthy clip, likely passing $1 billion by 2019.

Demitrios Kalogeropoulos has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.


white watches for women2>Author
Demitrios Kalogeropoulos

Demitri covers consumer goods and media companies for Fool.com, as well as broader moves in the economy. Follow @tmfsigma


Article Info

  • Jun 25, 2017 at 5:37PM
  • Consumer Goods

Stocks

Constellation Brands Stock Quote

Constellation Brands

NYSE:STZ

$211.71

up

$0.46

(0.22%)


Read More

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Sky Watch: Virgo, a grand but faint constellation, is one of the few ladies of the sky

May 13, 2017 at 3:30 pm

Virgo the Virgin is one of only three constellations representing women that we can see in our Minnesota-western Wisconsin skies over the course of the year. Andromeda the Princess and Cassiopeia the Queen are the only other ladies of the sky.

I know you’ve seen Cassiopeia before, although you may not have known what you were stargazing at.

Mike LynchMike Lynch

Cassiopeia is that bright “W” that you see in the northern sky every single night as it makes a tight circle around Polaris the North Star every 24 hours. This time of year look for Cassiopeia in the very low northern sky. You can’t miss it. It’s as bright as the Big Dipper. The “W” outlines the throne that Queen Cassiopeia is tied to because she boasted that she was more beautiful than Hera, the queen of all the gods. Hera had Cassiopeia tied to the throne and tossed into the sky so she could show her “beauty” to everyone on Earth. As she spins around the North Star, sometimes she’s lying on her back as she is now, but in the early winter when the “W” is upside down, she’s hanging by the ropes! It’s not a good idea to tick off the queen of the gods.

Unfortunately, Virgo the Virgin is not so prominent in the night sky. It’s a large but faint constellation. You need really dark skies and lot of patience to see Virgo. It’s what I call a stargazing “deep track.” How this faint collection of stars about halfway up in the southern sky is supposed to be the goddess of fertility is a mystery to me. It usually only has one bright star, Spica, but this year, the constellation Virgo is hosting the really bright planet Jupiter, shining above Spica. Because Virgo is one of the 13 zodiac constellations, it does host the moon and planets from time to time.

The best way to find Virgo this spring, at least to start with, is to find Jupiter. Then go to Spica and do the best you can. It’s not only faint, it’s not well defined, either. Spica itself is a fascinating star. It’s a blue giant star about 263 light-years, or about 1,519 trillion miles, away from Earth. It’s 10 times as massive and over five times larger than our sun with a girth of almost 5 million miles. Spica is a lot hotter than our sun, with a surface temperature well over 30,000 degrees F.  Spica is also moving away from us at a speed of 2,200 miles an hour, although no farewell parties are planned for Spica anytime soon. Despite its tremendous fleeing speed, it will still adorn our spring and summer heavens for many evenings to come.

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If you have a larger telescope and you’re really out in the boonies, you have a chance of seeing at least a few of the many galaxies that are about 60 million light-years from Earth. These galaxies are found a little to the right of Virgo. Because Virgo is such a faint constellation, it’s easier to use Jupiter as a bearing. The Virgo cluster will be 20 degrees or about two fist-widths at arm’s length above and little to the right of Jupiter.

Even with a larger telescope, you might be less than overwhelmed visually. At best, these galaxies will mainly be fuzzy patches, but those fuzzy patches are made up of whole islands of stars, each one of them with billions and billions of stars. By the way, if you flew to the Virgo cluster of galaxies in a jet airliner that flew at an average speed of 500 miles per hour, it would only take you 70,000 trillion years to get there. That flight better have a movie!

To many cultures, including the Greeks and Egyptians, Virgo the Virgin represents the goddess of fertility. She holds in her hand a shaft of wheat. In fact, farmers took the first sighting of Virgo with Spica as a cue to start their spring planting. When she leaves the evening sky four to five months later, the growing season is over. According to mythology, that’s when Virgo leaves the land of the living and starts her annual search in the underworld for her slain husband, Tammuz. At last report, she hasn’t found him yet, but after every growing season she resumes her search. The grand lady of the night sky is truly a loyal lover.

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